BTC split. To be or not to be?

We are in the situation where the whole crypto market is awaiting for one event only..

Will the Bitcoin network split or not? There is an amazing philosophical aspect to the current state of the things. Namely, the previously stated “decentralization” of the Bitcoin, where we had clear separation and balance between “developers”, “miners”, “users” and “business around the BTC” – will it survive? And if not – will it mean that the humans nature (greed, fear and delusion) is stronger than any technological solution designed to control it?

We will witness the resolution pretty soon. Next few weeks promise to be very intense.

Let us come back and check few charts. Together with crowd sentiment.

Last time we were looking for FOMO. We’ve got to some degree. That was the reason why we posted in our Santiment.net project the following twitt . As you can see, the market indeed reversed. However, ETH didn’t go as low as we wished ($20), reaching only $30. And this is difficult call for us now.. Should we wait till ETH will fall down to $20 or rather jump on board before it’s too late?

Let’s check the following chart:ETHBTCLongIt is hard to say where the wave 4 will end. Like on the picture above, or as here below:

ETHBTCMidTerm A bit easier part is – when we have our final run in the wave 5,  expect some real madness on the top. Most probably the sentiment will be something like “there is no other coin but ETH”.

Quite likely it will come together with the fall/split in BTC.

No one will be even considering to sell such a precious coin as ETH. But as a crowd sentiment follower/researcher you should have already learned. When everyone is super excited – it might be good time to consider other options.

Stay tuned. In the next weeks there will be again few regular updates. Not very often, but around once per week. The situation is special enough to do it again.

The Elliott Wave Principle describes the behaviour of the financial markets. This Principle is build on the mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence. When these swings happen, the specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements are created and become visible. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future.
The purpose of our blog posts is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Elliott Wave Principle.
While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will my posts make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended.
Very important. Investing carries risk of losses. You should be aware of all the risks associated with investing/trading financial instruments. Information provided in this blog is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed.
The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities.
This blog and the information provided here should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions.
In no event will we be liable for any loss or damage on your account in connection with the use of our publications.
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FOMO, we need FOMO

The 5-th wave, which we were expecting to come in the last update, decided to extend. As the author mentioned in that last update, chasing the possible correction down wasn’t worth it. In the bull market (where we are clearly since the beginning of 2017) surprises tend to happen on the way up.

Looking at the charts now, it seems to be reasonable to get to the area around $22-23. Combined with the coming “news” about ENS (Ethereum Name Service) that could become the perfect top:ETHBTCMidTermThere are some alternative counts, where basically we have the sequence of 1-2, 1-2, 1-2-3 waves. If that is what is playing now, then we will have few more sequences “down-up” before making the top (which in this case can come a bit higher) and then correcting down to around $12-13.

How can we make a final call and decide which structure is the real one?

One way is to pay attention to what happens to the crowd sentiment when the ETH starts correcting down from the ATH (all time hight) at around $22-23. If on the way down the crowd will shown some concerns.. Well, then we would have to accept the chance for further rise. If, however, it will widely be seen as the “last chance” to buy cheap – you know we are on the top.

This is a nice exercise in the understanding of the “crowd” behavior and we are analyzing it in real time in the slack channel for the Santiment.net project. If you feel interested in learning this skill, come over and talk with us. We as the community were able to identify the last top and base for the rise in ETH.

As usual, the author generally wants to keep this blog free of any trading advices.  Whatever comes here is just sharing of the experience of how the crypto-currency markets can be analyzed in a special and so often seen way. Based not on FOMO and FUD, but on the observing the crowd sentiment and Elliott Waves.

Enjoy the spring.

The Elliott Wave Principle describes the behaviour of the financial markets. This Principle is build on the mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence. When these swings happen, the specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements are created and become visible. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future.
The purpose of our blog posts is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Elliott Wave Principle.
While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will my posts make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended.
Very important. Investing carries risk of losses. You should be aware of all the risks associated with investing/trading financial instruments. Information provided in this blog is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed.
The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities.
This blog and the information provided here should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions.
In no event will we be liable for any loss or damage on your account in connection with the use of our publications.